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TJ Dillashaw Breakdown:
With the weigh-ins complete, TJ looks sharp and has shown himself well prepared for the 125lb branch. On the feet he ought to have a significant edge over Cejudo. The duration of TJ, together with his unorthodox fashion, will let him land serious volume against the limited wrestler. Additionally leg kicks are a mortal option against front hefty karate stance. Cejudo will probably be needing takedowns and significant top control if he’s to win any rounds. Unfortunately for him, TJ has exceptional wrestling himself in addition to an arguably more harmful grappling arsenal. His evasiveness should restrict Cejudo’s opportunities to shoot and on the floor he is going to be difficult to control for extended periods. Overall the path to victory appears slender for Cejudo whilst TJ is a proven finisher who conveys good aerobic and much superior volume to acquire over 5 rounds. The bet is TJ Dillashaw to function as double champ!Rachael Ostovich Breakdown:
Both of these fighters have some flaws to their game but stylistically this is a winnable battle for the underdog. On the toes Vanzant is more pliable but likely faster with more volume. Ostovich includes a simpler fashion but neither fighter is likely to land substantial damage here. The size and strength of Ostovich will be a significant advantage on the ground where both girls have a tendency to attract the fight. Vanzant is stubborn but takes insecure options and leaves a lot of openings for opponents. Ostovich can capitalise her exceptional control means she will spend much more time on top or at dominant positions. Anticipate a back and forth struggle where we get good value about the underdog odds.
Bet = Ostovich in 2.35 (+135) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 4.05 Units.
Ariane Lipski Breakdown:
Lipski that the”Violence Queen” is making her debut following an impressive run as the KSW champion. Matching up with Calderwood she has the advantage in most regions. The aggression and power of Lipski’s combos at the pocket will be overpowering for Calderwood who exceeds speed and head motion. This battle is probably to play out on the feet but even on the mat it is Lipski with the better abilities. Calderwood is coming off a”lucky” entry win in a fight where she had been having a lot of trouble. Over her career she has been know to battle with adversity during conflicts and look for a way out. Lipski though appears to be very durable and struggles with heart. At 24 years old she will be showing substantial improvements between fights.
Bet = Lipski in 1.53 (-188) chances. Risk 5 Components to acquire 2.65 Units.
Alexander Hernandez Breakdown:
Cerrone is coming back down to 155lbs for an unlikely matchup against an increasing prospect. Hernandez brings a design that’s proven against Cowboy with his fast start and relentless pressure. Whether this fight goes the distance it will be Hernandez pushing the pace, holding Cerrone against the fence and securing takedowns to impress the judges. Cowboys best way to success is snatching a entry off his back but that’s a little chance against a strong wrestler. The energy, athleticism, youth and style of Hernandez will be a great deal for the veteran to handle with only 3 rounds to work with. Cerrone is typically a slow starter and the fall back to 155lb is not likely to assist his durability issues.
Bet = Hernandez at 1.54 (-185) odds. Risk 4 Units to acquire 2.16 Units.
Dustin Ortiz Breakdown:
This is a rematch fight from the first back in 2014, which Benavidez won through decision. Now it is Ortiz who has proven the newest improvements in his game, currently riding an impressive win series. Benavidez remains a top contender but does seem like he’s slightly declining in his current appearances. For example an underdog Ortiz includes a couple of avenues to victory. He will be at a disadvantage on the toes in terms of quantity, but packs substantial power. Benavidez has been wobbled always lately fights suggesting his strength is fading. Furthermore the 34 year old will slow down later in the struggle since Ortiz brings a constant grinding speed. This ought to be a close fight that seems to be lined too wide.
Bet = Ortiz at 3.05 (+205) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 4.1 Units.
Karl Roberson Breakdown:
Roberson is going up as a late replacement to undertake the tough veteran Glover. On the toes the disparity is broad. Roberson is lightning fast and has strong counters. Glover has slowed considerably into his later years and with his durability fading his lack of head motion is apparent. Cory Anderson (Roberson’s training partner) is not famous for his striking yet found enormous success himself on the toes in his final fight against Glover. The obvious issue for Roberson is that his grappling defence, but working with Anderson he should be advancing here as a young prospect. Glover may get some takedowns however if he does not get an early submission it will be challenging to keep up with the younger, quicker and more athletic Roberson. Additionally if he can’t get it into the mat his options look bleak. As an underdog, Roberson seems a good bet.
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